of qualified quarterbacks, slightly behind Alex Smith at 27.6 percent

When two competitors enter the Octagon on fight night, the mentality of these fighters is not to pay attention to the odds. A fight is a fight, and any distraction from the violent challenge facing them from the other side of the cage is too dangerous a trait to remain long among elite competitors.Yet its impossible to believe that any human, not matter how well-conditioned or accustom to fighting, would not be aware when the whole world thinks they will lose. And those fighters who have continuously overachieved the expectations set upon them by the betting market have earned special recognition as cold-blooded winners who truly dont care what is supposed to happen on fight night in favor of what they determine to be their own fate. They rise to the occasion and topple kings and queens without regard. And the bettors that either saw these upsets in the making, or at least properly valued some regression to the mean against unjustified favorites, were likely rewarded handsomely.One fighter best exemplifies the value of over-performance, or market underestimation. If the question is Which fighter has been the best betting investment in UFC history, then the answer is , well, the Answer. Frankie the Answer Edgar. And its not even close.Taking only fighters with long careers in the UFC, we unsurprisingly see a list of well-known fighters, and plenty of champions and title contenders. Just to have 15 career fights in the UFC demands a fair bit of success early on, and these fighters all have performed admirably over time. But what differentiates these fighters is that they have significantly outperformed market expectations, either through unwavering success through long winning streaks, or also through being undervalued at the sports books and beating the odds. Frankie Edgar managed to be both of these: hes a winner who also was often underestimated.The ROI return equalizes bets to account for favorites and winners, assuming an equal betting amount for each fighters performances. Big underdogs can return big profits for an upset, while steep favorites who always win offer stable and conservative bond-like returns. But in reality, big players in the betting markets will often make maximum bets when they choose to take a side, meaning they risk far more on favorites than when they take the underdog. Assuming this methodology gives a slightly different list of fighters return the most dollars profit.Interestingly, recently anointed champion Michael Bisping jumps to second on this list, thanks to two consecutive massive upsets against Anderson Silva and Luke Rockhold, on his way to the top of the middleweight ladder. Also notable on this list is Jon Jones, whose lone career loss via disqualification is the only thing preventing a perfect MMA record and a higher spot on both lists. We previously took a look at Joness career betting performance compared to Daniel Cormier?and the implications of their UFC 200 rematch on their returns.Several fighters on the list will be competing during the UFCs three International Fight Week cards this week, including Frankie Edgar, Jones, Rafael dos Anjos, Joe Lauzon. While Jones and dos Anjos are heavy favorites to win their fights that week, Edgar and Lauzon both have nearly pick em betting lines, meaning they could improve further up these lists with a win than the others. Edgar has only been unable to defeat two opponents in his career. One is Benson Henderson, now two divisions higher and competing in another promotion. But the other is Jose Aldo, and they will clash in a rematch at UFC 200. Current lines are giving Edgar the smallest edge at -115 in what is sure to be a closely contested bout.Visit Fightnomics?for more MMA stats and analysis. Wes Hopkins Youth Jersey . "I was fortunate to play many years at this level with a great organization and unbelievable teammates," said Hejduk in a statement. Brian Westbrook Youth Jersey .ca looks back at the stories and moments that made the year memorable. http://www.theeaglesfootballauthentic.com/eagles-jj-arcega-whiteside-black-jersey/ . In the lead up - which seemed to begin the moment Mike Geiger blew the whistle in Houston last Thursday night - the Impact rumour mill went into overdrive. The speculation went into meltdown mode, of the golden nugget variety. Miles Sanders Youth Jersey . -- Tony Stewart is 20 pounds lighter and has a titanium rod in his surgically repaired right leg. Dallas Goedert Youth Jersey . Goals from Jerome Boateng, Franck Ribery and Thomas Mueller extended Bayerns unbeaten run to a record 37 matches. "This record is incredible," Bayern coach Pep Guardiola said. The raw passing numbers of rookies Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys and Carson Wentz of the Philadelphia Eagles look fairly similar:Prescott: 68.7 completion percentage, 7 passing touchdowns, 1 interception, 103.9 passer ratingWentz: 63.8 completion percentage, 8 passing touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 92.7 passer ratingBut through the lens of Total QBR, a significant difference emerges. Prescott leads the league with an 82.9 QBR, while Wentz ranks 29th with a 49.9. Both quarterbacks have been good enough to win (the Cowboys are 5-1 heading into their Sunday night showdown against the 4-2 Eagles), so where do the differences in their performances lie?Context is keyTotal QBR is opponent-adjusted, so a?good performance against a bad defense is weighed as such. Wentzs numbers are hurt by the fact that hes faced the easiest set of QBR defenses in the league thus far.For example, in Week 1, Wentz had an unadjusted QBR of 66.1, which looks pretty good by itself, but if we take into account that it came at home, the opponent was the Cleveland Browns and that it was the second-lowest opponent QBR allowed by the Browns this season, it gets adjusted down to a 53.2 -- just about average. This isnt isolated to just the Browns game. Wentz has the lowest QBR allowed by the Lions and the Redskins as well. A look at the strength of Wentzs performances for each team Philadelphia has played:Prescott has also faced a fairly easy set of opponents (28th easiest of 31 qualified quarterbacks) but has exceeded what other quarterbacks have done against those defenses:Its worth noting that the duo shares a pair of common games so far, having both played Washington and Chicago. In both cases, Prescott had a vastly superior raw QBR (98.8 to 58.8 against Chicago and 88.2 to 30.7 against Washington) to Wentz.Moving the chains on third downOne big spot in which Prescott has separated himself from Wentz is third down. Prescott has the sixth-best raw QBR on third down, with a 72.0, while Wentz ranks 22nd with a 36.8.The big driver hhere is their conversion rates when passing.dddddddddddd Both have converted their only third-down scramble attempt and have taken five sacks apiece, but when they do throw on that down, Prescott has converted 48 percent of his attempts into first downs, where Wentz has converted only 35 percent of his attempts -- less than the league average of nearly 40 percent.Overall Prescott is completing 73.1 percent of his third-down pass attempts, best of any quarterback in the league, while Wentz is connecting at a 56.3 percent rate, slightly less than the league average (59.4 percent).Wentz reliant on short passesNo qualified quarterback has a higher percentage of pass attempts come on screen plays than Wentz at 16 percent, and only Matthew Stafford has attempted more screen passes overall (32 to Wentzs 29). Wentz also has the second-highest percent of attempts at or behind the line of scrimmage of qualified quarterbacks, slightly behind Alex Smith at 27.6 percent.These shorter passes by design are set up to help the quarterback, and QBR takes that into account when dividing credit on the play. So when Wentz connects with running back?Darren Sproles 5 or 6 yards behind the line of scrimmage and Sproles ends up with a big gain, most of the credit there is given to Sproles and the offensive line, not Wentz. Meanwhile, Prescott is in the bottom third of the league in passes at or behind the line of scrimmage, with just 17 percent of his attempts in that range, less than the league average of 20.7 percent.When we add everything up, we see that Wentz has not outplayed other quarterbacks who have faced the same defenses, is not converting third downs at a high rate and is reliant on having his receivers make plays for him on short passes, all in contrast to Prescott.All of the above tells the QBR story -- even if the raw numbers and team records would suggest the players are equal.? ' ' '